The data suggests caution when backing the Pittsburgh Steelers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a loss, the Pittsburgh Steelers are just 20-32-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -26.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +26.6%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record20-32-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size52 games
ROI-26.6%
Units Won-13.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-7-00.0%-57.6%
20152-1-00.0%+27.3%
20162-2-00.0%-4.5%
20171-1-00.0%-4.5%
20183-3-00.0%-4.5%
20191-6-00.0%-72.7%
20203-2-00.0%+14.6%
20212-3-00.0%-23.6%
20222-4-00.0%-36.4%
20231-3-00.0%-52.3%
20241-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Steelers' struggles against the spread following losses stem from their organizational culture of high expectations and internal pressure. Pittsburgh's defensive identity under Mike Tomlin creates a team that takes losses particularly hard, often leading to overcompensation in subsequent games. The franchise's "never rebuild" philosophy means they frequently field competitive but flawed rosters that struggle with consistency, making bounce-back performances unpredictable. Pittsburgh's tendency to make dramatic adjustments after defeats often backfires against the betting line. Their coaching staff historically overreacts to poor performances, implementing wholesale scheme changes that can disrupt rhythm and timing. The team's reliance on veteran leadership means older players may lack the physical capacity to immediately respond to increased practice intensity following losses. The Steelers' passionate fanbase and media scrutiny amplify post-loss pressure, creating additional psychological burden that manifests in tight, mistake-prone performances. Their defensive-minded approach often leads to conservative game plans after defeats, resulting in lower-scoring affairs that fail to cover inflated spreads set by their reputation. This trend carries the most significance when Pittsburgh faces divisional opponents or playoff contenders immediately after losses, as the combination of heightened stakes and recent failure creates the perfect storm for underperformance against expectations.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Pittsburgh Steelers's ATS record as after a loss?

The Pittsburgh Steelers have a 20-32-0 ATS record after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 38.5% ATS win rate over 52 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers as after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers after a loss is not profitable. With a -26.6% ROI and 0.0% straight-up win rate, this represents a significant losing proposition for bettors.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is well below the league average of approximately 50% ATS. The Steelers' 38.5% ATS rate after losses indicates they consistently fail to cover spreads in bounce-back situations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.