The data suggests caution when backing the Philadelphia Eagles in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the Philadelphia Eagles are just 6-7-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -11.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +11.9%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record6-7-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size13 games
ROI-11.9%
Units Won-1.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20140-2-00.0%-100.0%
20152-1-00.0%+27.3%
20160-1-00.0%-100.0%
20190-1-00.0%-100.0%
20201-0-00.0%+90.9%
20212-1-00.0%+27.3%
20220-1-00.0%-100.0%
20241-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Eagles' struggles as medium underdogs stem from their organizational identity crisis in these spots. Philadelphia has historically been built around aggressive, high-tempo offensive schemes and opportunistic defensive play-calling that thrives when they can dictate pace and field position. When installed as medium underdogs, however, the team often abandons this identity in favor of more conservative game plans that don't suit their personnel strengths. This disconnect becomes particularly pronounced with Philadelphia's coaching tendencies under pressure. The franchise has shown a pattern of overthinking adjustments when facing superior opponents, leading to uncharacteristic play-calling that neutralizes their natural advantages in the trenches and explosive play potential. Their offensive line, typically a strength, becomes less effective when forced into obvious passing situations that medium underdog status often creates. The psychological element cannot be ignored either. Philadelphia's fanbase and organizational culture expects competitiveness regardless of opponent quality, creating internal pressure that manifests as pressing rather than executing fundamentals. This leads to costly penalties and turnovers that compound the already challenging mathematics of covering as an underdog. This trend matters most in divisional games and primetime spots where the Eagles feel additional pressure to prove themselves against perceived superior competition.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Philadelphia Eagles's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?

The Philadelphia Eagles have a 6-7-0 ATS record as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7 points) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 46.2% cover rate in this betting situation.

Is betting on the Philadelphia Eagles as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?

No, betting on the Philadelphia Eagles as medium underdogs has not been profitable, with a 0.0% win rate and -11.9% ROI from 2014-2024. This indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Eagles in this spot.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Eagles' 46.2% ATS cover rate as medium underdogs is below the typical 50% league average expectation. Their -11.9% ROI significantly underperforms compared to the theoretical break-even point for spread betting.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.