The data suggests caution when backing the Philadelphia Eagles in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the Philadelphia Eagles are just 9-21-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -42.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +42.7%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record9-21-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size30 games
ROI-42.7%
Units Won-12.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20140-2-00.0%-100.0%
20162-3-00.0%-23.6%
20181-4-00.0%-61.8%
20191-1-00.0%-4.5%
20201-0-00.0%+90.9%
20210-2-00.0%-100.0%
20221-1-00.0%-4.5%
20230-3-00.0%-100.0%
20243-5-00.0%-28.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Eagles' struggles as favorites stem from their inherent volatility as a franchise that thrives on underdog energy and external motivation. Philadelphia has historically been a team that plays up or down to competition, often lacking the killer instinct needed to cover spreads when expected to dominate. Their passionate fanbase and media create enormous pressure when favored, leading to tight performances against teams they should handle comfortably. Schematically, the Eagles have frequently relied on explosive plays and momentum swings rather than methodical dominance. This boom-or-bust style makes them vulnerable to covering large spreads, as they often build early leads only to coast or allow garbage-time scoring. Their defensive inconsistencies compound this issue, particularly against mobile quarterbacks and creative offensive schemes that exploit their aggressive tendencies. The coaching staff's tendency to overthink game plans when favored has also hurt their covering ability. Instead of sticking to their identity, they sometimes try to establish dominance through conservative approaches that don't align with their personnel strengths. Smart bettors should be particularly cautious backing Philadelphia as home favorites against divisional opponents, where familiarity breeds competitive games regardless of talent disparities. This trend matters most in primetime spots and following big victories when public perception inflates their lines.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Philadelphia Eagles's ATS record as as favorite?

The Philadelphia Eagles have a 9-21-0 ATS record when favored from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 30% of games. This represents one of the worst ATS performances for any team in the favorite role over this period.

Is betting on the Philadelphia Eagles as as favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Philadelphia Eagles as favorites has been highly unprofitable with a -42.7% ROI from 2014-2024. This means bettors would have lost approximately 43 cents for every dollar wagered on Eagles spreads when they were favored.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Eagles' 30% ATS win rate as favorites is significantly below the league average of approximately 50% for favored teams. Their -42.7% ROI represents one of the worst returns among NFL teams in favorite situations during this timeframe.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.