The data suggests caution when backing the Philadelphia Eagles in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as favorite after 3+ game losing streak, the Philadelphia Eagles are just 9-20-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -40.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +40.8%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record9-20-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size29 games
ROI-40.8%
Units Won-11.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20140-1-00.0%-100.0%
20162-3-00.0%-23.6%
20181-4-00.0%-61.8%
20191-1-00.0%-4.5%
20201-0-00.0%+90.9%
20210-2-00.0%-100.0%
20221-1-00.0%-4.5%
20230-3-00.0%-100.0%
20243-5-00.0%-28.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Eagles' struggles as favorites following extended losing streaks reveal a franchise that historically battles internal pressure and external expectations poorly during adversity. Philadelphia's passionate fanbase and intense media scrutiny create a powder keg environment when the team enters rough patches, making it difficult for players to perform with the confidence typically expected from betting favorites. The organization's tendency toward emotional volatility becomes amplified during these scenarios. Eagles teams have consistently shown they press too hard when trying to snap losing streaks as favorites, leading to uncharacteristic mistakes and conservative play-calling that contradicts their natural aggressive identity. The coaching staff often overthinks game plans during these moments, abandoning the attacking mentality that made them successful enough to be favored in the first place. Philadelphia's roster construction over the past decade has frequently featured high-ceiling, high-floor players who thrive on momentum but struggle to create it from nothing. When confidence erodes through consecutive losses, these players often underperform relative to their talent level, making them poor values as chalk. This trend carries the most weight when the Eagles are home favorites of 3-7 points following losing streaks, where the pressure cooker atmosphere of Lincoln Financial Field intensifies the psychological burden.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Philadelphia Eagles's ATS record as favorite after 3+ game losing streak?

The Philadelphia Eagles have a 9-20-0 ATS record as favorites after suffering a 3+ game losing streak from 2014-2024. This represents a poor 31.0% ATS win rate in these situations.

Is betting on the Philadelphia Eagles as favorite after 3+ game losing streak profitable?

No, betting on the Eagles as favorites after 3+ game losing streaks is not profitable, showing a -40.8% ROI. Bettors would have lost significant money backing Philadelphia in these spots over the past decade.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is well below league average, as most teams typically cover around 50% ATS as favorites. The Eagles' 31.0% ATS rate in this situation represents one of the worst trends for any franchise in similar circumstances.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.