Philadelphia Eagles Away Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Philadelphia Eagles in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Philadelphia Eagles are just 5-7-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -20.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +20.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Eagles' struggles as road favorites following defeats stem from their historically volatile emotional makeup and tendency to overcorrect after losses. Philadelphia teams have long carried a blue-collar mentality that can work against them when expectations are elevated on the road. After absorbing a loss, the Eagles often face increased public backing in their next game as a favorite, creating inflated lines that don't account for their psychological fragility in hostile environments. The franchise's coaching philosophy under various regimes has emphasized aggressive, high-risk strategies that become magnified when playing with the pressure of favoritism away from Lincoln Financial Field. This approach often backfires when the team is already dealing with confidence issues from a recent defeat. The Eagles' offensive identity, built around tempo and rhythm, becomes particularly vulnerable on the road where crowd noise and unfamiliar surroundings can disrupt their timing-based attack. Their defensive units have also shown a pattern of allowing explosive plays in road spots following losses, as players press to make individual impact plays rather than executing disciplined team defense. This creates backdoor covering opportunities for underdogs who can exploit Philadelphia's aggressive tendencies. This trend carries the most weight when the Eagles are favored by more than a field goal on the road after divisional losses, where emotional carryover effects are most pronounced.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Philadelphia Eagles's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?
The Philadelphia Eagles have a 5-7-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 41.7% ATS win rate across 12 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Philadelphia Eagles as away favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Philadelphia Eagles as away favorites after a loss has not been profitable. The strategy shows a -20.4% ROI with a 0.0% straight-up win rate over this period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below the typical league average for away favorites, which generally covers around 48-52% of the time. The Eagles' 41.7% ATS rate in this spot makes them a fade candidate in this specific situation.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.