The data suggests caution when backing the New York Jets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs non-conference opponent, the New York Jets are just 11-24-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -40.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +40.0%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record11-24-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size35 games
ROI-40.0%
Units Won-14.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-1-00.0%+27.3%
20151-1-00.0%-4.5%
20161-4-00.0%-61.8%
20170-1-00.0%-100.0%
20181-2-00.0%-36.4%
20192-3-00.0%-23.6%
20201-4-00.0%-61.8%
20212-1-00.0%+27.3%
20220-5-00.0%-100.0%
20241-2-00.0%-36.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Jets' struggles against non-conference opponents stem from their organizational instability and preparation challenges that have plagued the franchise for over a decade. When facing unfamiliar AFC opponents, New York consistently fails to adapt their game planning effectively, often appearing unprepared for different defensive schemes and offensive philosophies they rarely encounter. The team's coaching carousel has created a lack of institutional knowledge about cross-conference matchups, leaving players without proper strategic frameworks to handle these unique contests. New York's defensive identity, traditionally built around stopping division rivals like New England and Buffalo, frequently crumbles when confronted with NFC offensive systems they study minimally during the season. The Jets' offensive coordinators have historically struggled to exploit unfamiliar defensive personnel, leading to conservative game plans that fail to capitalize on potential mismatches. This preparation deficit becomes magnified in primetime or nationally televised games, where the spotlight often exposes the team's fundamental weaknesses. The psychological burden of being underdogs in these showcase matchups has created a self-fulfilling prophecy, with players pressing to make individual plays rather than executing sound team football. Bettors should target Jets non-conference games when they're road favorites, as the team's inability to handle expectations becomes most pronounced when the betting market overvalues their chances away from familiar division opponents.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New York Jets's ATS record as vs non-conference opponent?

The New York Jets have an 11-24-0 ATS record when playing against non-conference opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a poor 31.4% ATS win rate over this 11-year period.

Is betting on the New York Jets as vs non-conference opponent profitable?

No, betting on the New York Jets against non-conference opponents has been highly unprofitable with a -40.0% ROI. This means bettors would have lost 40% of their investment following this trend over the past decade.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below the expected 50% league average for ATS betting. The Jets' 31.4% ATS win rate against non-conference opponents represents one of the worst situational trends in the NFL during this timeframe.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.