New York Jets Home Favorite Betting Trend

The Jets' struggles as home favorites stem from a franchise-wide pattern of failing to meet elevated expectations when the betting market views them as superior. New York's organizational instability over the past decade has created a team that consistently lacks the killer instinct needed to cover spreads when favored at MetLife Stadium. The franchise's revolving door of quarterbacks, coaches, and systems has fostered an environment where players often play tight when expected to dominate, leading to conservative game plans that keep contests closer than the spread suggests. The psychological burden of being favored particularly weighs on a franchise starved for success. Jets players and coaches understand the heightened scrutiny that comes with home favorite status, often resulting in tentative early-game execution that allows supposedly inferior opponents to hang around. This dynamic is amplified by MetLife Stadium's atmosphere, which can turn negative quickly when the team fails to meet lofty pregame expectations. Smart bettors should consider fading the Jets as home favorites, particularly in divisional matchups where familiarity breeds competitive games regardless of talent disparity. This trend carries the most weight when New York is favored by more than a field goal against teams with recent success against them.