New York Jets Home Games Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the New York Jets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home games, the New York Jets are just 16-19-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -12.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +12.7%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2022 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2023 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Jets' persistent home underperformance stems from a toxic combination of unrealistic expectations and organizational instability that has plagued the franchise for over a decade. MetLife Stadium, shared with the Giants, lacks the intimidating home-field advantage that other venues provide, creating a sterile environment where visiting teams feel comfortable. The Jets' chronic quarterback carousel and frequent coaching changes have prevented the development of consistent offensive identity, making them particularly vulnerable when home crowds expect dominant performances. New York's defensive-minded culture often leads to conservative game plans at home, where coaches feel pressure to avoid mistakes rather than attack. This defensive mindset becomes problematic when the team falls behind early, as they lack the explosive offensive capability to mount comebacks. The media scrutiny in the New York market amplifies every mistake, creating additional pressure that manifests in poor execution during crucial moments. Bettors should target the Jets as road favorites or small home dogs when facing teams with established quarterback play, as the pressure differential becomes most pronounced in these spots. This trend carries maximum weight in divisional games and primetime contests, where the spotlight intensifies the psychological burden on a franchise still searching for sustainable success.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the New York Jets's ATS record as home games?
The New York Jets have a 16-19-0 record against the spread in home games from 2014-2024. This represents a 45.7% ATS win rate over 35 home games during this period.
Is betting on the New York Jets as home games profitable?
No, betting on the New York Jets in home games has not been profitable, showing a -12.7% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Jets at home against the spread.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Jets' 45.7% home ATS win rate is below the typical 50% league average expected for spread betting. Their -12.7% ROI also underperforms compared to the theoretical break-even point for sports betting.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.