The data suggests caution when backing the New York Jets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a win, the New York Jets are just 10-21-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -38.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +38.4%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record10-21-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size31 games
ROI-38.4%
Units Won-11.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-1-00.0%+43.2%
20150-1-00.0%-100.0%
20162-2-00.0%-4.5%
20170-1-00.0%-100.0%
20181-2-00.0%-36.4%
20191-2-00.0%-36.4%
20201-4-00.0%-61.8%
20212-1-00.0%+27.3%
20220-2-00.0%-100.0%
20230-2-00.0%-100.0%
20240-3-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Jets' dismal performance after victories stems from a toxic combination of organizational instability and psychological fragility that has plagued the franchise for over a decade. This team consistently struggles with success, often displaying a pattern of complacency and poor preparation following positive outcomes. The constant coaching changes, quarterback carousel, and front office turnover have created an environment where sustained momentum becomes nearly impossible to maintain. New York's tendency to follow wins with underwhelming performances reflects deeper systemic issues. The team lacks the veteran leadership and championship culture necessary to build on success. Instead of using victories as stepping stones, the Jets often appear to exhale and lose focus, particularly evident in their preparation and execution the following week. The franchise's perpetual rebuilding mode means players and coaches are constantly fighting for job security, creating pressure that manifests differently after wins versus losses. Bettors should view Jets victories as red flags rather than positive indicators. The psychological letdown combined with potential line inflation makes fading New York after wins a consistently profitable strategy. This trend becomes most valuable when the Jets are coming off upset victories or divisional wins, as the emotional high often leads to the steepest subsequent crash.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New York Jets's ATS record as after a win?

The New York Jets have a 10-21-0 ATS record after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 32.3% ATS win rate over 31 games.

Is betting on the New York Jets as after a win profitable?

No, betting on the Jets after a win is not profitable, with a -38.4% ROI. This represents significant losses for bettors who consistently wagered on New York in these situations.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Jets' 32.3% ATS win rate after victories is well below the league average of approximately 50%. This makes them one of the worst teams to bet on following a win during this timeframe.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.