The public often underestimates the New Orleans Saints in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the New Orleans Saints hold a record of 37-10-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +50.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $24 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record37-10-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size47 games
ROI+50.3%
Units Won+23.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-2-00.0%+14.6%
20152-2-00.0%-4.5%
20167-0-00.0%+90.9%
20172-1-00.0%+27.3%
20183-0-00.0%+90.9%
20195-2-00.0%+36.4%
20203-0-00.0%+90.9%
20211-0-00.0%+90.9%
20222-0-00.0%+90.9%
20237-2-00.0%+48.5%
20242-1-00.0%+27.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Saints' exceptional primetime underdog performance stems from a potent combination of dome field advantage and Sean Payton's strategic acumen in big-game situations. New Orleans thrives when overlooked, particularly at home where the Superdome's acoustics and crowd energy create a significant edge that oddsmakers often undervalue. The Saints' high-octane passing attack becomes even more lethal under the bright lights, as Drew Brees historically elevated his play in primetime scenarios, while the team's offensive creativity tends to catch opponents off-guard when they're expected to struggle. The psychological element cannot be understated - this franchise has long embraced the underdog mentality, dating back to their post-Hurricane Katrina resurgence. When facing primetime spreads, the Saints benefit from reduced public betting pressure and sharper line value, as casual bettors typically fade teams getting points on national television. Their coaching staff excels at game-planning with extra preparation time, often implementing wrinkles that exploit specific opponent weaknesses. The key insight for bettors is recognizing that Saints primetime underdogs represent premium line value, especially when the spread exceeds a field goal. This trend matters most during divisional matchups and when New Orleans is catching points at home against playoff-caliber opponents.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New Orleans Saints's ATS record as primetime underdog?

The New Orleans Saints have an outstanding 37-10-0 ATS record as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents a 78.7% ATS win rate over 47 games.

Is betting on the New Orleans Saints as primetime underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Saints as primetime underdogs has been highly profitable with a 50.3% ROI. Despite a 0% straight-up win rate, they consistently cover the spread in these situations.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly exceeds the league average, as most teams struggle to maintain above 52.4% ATS. The Saints' 78.7% ATS rate as primetime underdogs is exceptionally strong compared to typical NFL trends.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.