New Orleans Saints Medium Underdog (+3.5 to +7) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the New Orleans Saints in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the New Orleans Saints hold a record of 10-3-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +46.9% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $6 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2015 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Saints' exceptional performance as medium underdogs stems from their organizational culture of resilience and Sean Payton's strategic adaptability during his tenure. New Orleans has historically thrived when facing adversity, drawing from their post-Katrina identity and the passionate support of the Superdome crowd. This psychological edge becomes amplified when they're positioned as moderate underdogs, creating a perfect storm of motivation without the crushing pressure that comes with being heavy favorites. Payton's offensive system particularly excels in these spots because it allows for calculated risks that become more palatable when the team isn't expected to dominate. The Saints can deploy their full playbook without conservative game management constraints, leading to explosive offensive performances that often exceed market expectations. Drew Brees' veteran leadership during this era provided steady execution in these pressure situations, while the defense typically played with house money mentality. The key betting insight here is recognizing that New Orleans performs best when they have something to prove but aren't facing insurmountable odds. This trend matters most in divisional games or primetime spots where the Saints can leverage their home-field advantage and emotional investment to outperform lowered public expectations.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the New Orleans Saints's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?
The New Orleans Saints have a 10-3-0 ATS record as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 76.9% ATS win rate in this betting situation.
Is betting on the New Orleans Saints as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Saints as medium underdogs has been highly profitable with a 46.9% ROI. Despite having a 0% straight-up win rate in these games, they consistently cover the spread.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly exceeds the league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS in any given situation. The Saints' 76.9% ATS rate and 46.9% ROI as medium underdogs represents exceptional value.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.