The public often underestimates the New Orleans Saints in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog after a win, the New Orleans Saints hold a record of 10-4-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +36.4% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $5 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record10-4-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size14 games
ROI+36.4%
Units Won+5.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-1-00.0%-4.5%
20163-0-00.0%+90.9%
20171-0-00.0%+90.9%
20191-0-00.0%+90.9%
20211-0-00.0%+90.9%
20232-2-00.0%-4.5%
20241-1-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Saints' exceptional performance as away underdogs following victories stems from their unique organizational culture and strategic adaptability under Sean Payton's tenure. New Orleans has historically thrived when external expectations are low, using the underdog label as motivation rather than burden. The team's offensive system, built around precision timing and creative play-calling, travels particularly well when they enter with confidence from a recent win. This combination creates a dangerous opponent that oddsmakers and the public consistently undervalue. The psychological element cannot be overlooked. Saints players have repeatedly demonstrated resilience in hostile environments, particularly when carrying momentum from home victories. Their veteran leadership core has excelled at maintaining focus during these spot situations, avoiding the emotional letdowns that plague many teams in similar circumstances. The franchise's "us against the world" mentality, cultivated through years of adversity, manifests most clearly when they're dismissed as road underdogs despite recent success. Smart bettors should target this trend when New Orleans faces divisional opponents or teams with inflated home field advantages. The edge becomes most pronounced when the Saints are catching 3-7 points after convincing home wins against quality opponents.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New Orleans Saints's ATS record as away underdog after a win?

The New Orleans Saints have a 10-4-0 ATS record as away underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 71.4% ATS win rate over 14 games.

Is betting on the New Orleans Saints as away underdog after a win profitable?

Yes, betting on the Saints as away underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 36.4% ROI. Despite covering the spread in most games, they have not won any of these games straight up (0.0% win rate).

How does this compare to the league average?

This 71.4% ATS rate significantly outperforms the typical 50% league average for spread betting. The 36.4% ROI indicates exceptional value in this specific betting situation for the Saints.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.