The public often underestimates the New England Patriots in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home after 2+ losses, the New England Patriots hold a record of 18-11-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +18.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $5 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record18-11-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size29 games
ROI+18.5%
Units Won+5.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-0-00.0%+90.9%
20153-2-00.0%+14.6%
20162-0-00.0%+90.9%
20172-1-00.0%+27.3%
20183-0-00.0%+90.9%
20192-0-00.0%+90.9%
20201-2-00.0%-36.4%
20210-1-00.0%-100.0%
20221-2-00.0%-36.4%
20231-1-00.0%-4.5%
20242-2-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Patriots' strong performance at home following multiple losses stems from Bill Belichick's legendary ability to galvanize his team during adversity. New England has historically thrived on the "us against the world" mentality, and consecutive defeats create the perfect storm for Belichick's motivational prowess to shine. The organization's culture of accountability means players respond to losing streaks with increased focus and preparation, particularly in the familiar confines of Gillette Stadium where crowd energy amplifies this effect. Belichick's tactical adjustments become more pronounced after multiple losses, as he has more game film to identify systemic issues. The Patriots typically excel at exploiting opponent weaknesses when their backs are against the wall, and the home environment provides the stability needed to implement complex scheme changes. The team's veteran leadership historically steps up in these moments, creating a feedback loop where experience translates to on-field execution. Bettors should target this spot when the Patriots face divisional opponents or teams they've recently struggled against, as the motivation factor intensifies. This trend carries the most weight during mid-season stretches when playoff positioning becomes critical, making November and December home games after losing streaks particularly valuable betting opportunities.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New England Patriots's ATS record as home after 2+ losses?

The New England Patriots have an 18-11-0 ATS record when playing at home after suffering 2 or more consecutive losses from 2014-2024. This translates to a 62.1% ATS win rate in this specific situation.

Is betting on the New England Patriots as home after 2+ losses profitable?

Yes, betting on the Patriots at home after 2+ losses has been profitable with an 18.5% ROI from 2014-2024. The 18-11 ATS record demonstrates consistent value in this betting situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 62.1% ATS win rate significantly outperforms the typical 50% league average for ATS betting. The Patriots have shown exceptional ability to bounce back at home following multiple consecutive losses.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.