The New England Patriots show mixed results as after 2+ consecutive losses. Since 2014, they're 45-41-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -0.1%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record45-41-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size86 games
ROI-0.1%
Units Won-0.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-1-00.0%+27.3%
20153-5-00.0%-28.4%
20165-4-00.0%+6.1%
20173-6-00.0%-36.4%
20185-2-00.0%+36.4%
20195-2-00.0%+36.4%
20206-4-00.0%+14.6%
20213-1-00.0%+43.2%
20223-5-00.0%-28.4%
20234-5-00.0%-15.2%
20246-6-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Patriots' mediocre performance against the spread following consecutive losses reveals a franchise caught between its championship pedigree and the reality of post-Brady adjustment. New England's organizational culture, built on decades of success under Bill Belichick, creates inflated public expectations that oddsmakers consistently exploit. When the Patriots lose back-to-back games, casual bettors often view it as an anomaly and expect an immediate bounce-back, driving up the line beyond the team's actual capabilities. Belichick's reputation as a master adjustor works against bettors in these spots. The market assumes his coaching genius will manifest in dramatic turnarounds, but the talent gap that emerged after Tom Brady's departure limits how much scheme can compensate for personnel deficiencies. The Patriots' recent struggles to cover in these situations reflect a team that fights hard but lacks the explosive playmakers to exceed elevated expectations consistently. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when public perception diverges from roster reality. Fading the Patriots as road favorites following consecutive losses often provides value, as the market overvalues their historical resilience. This trend matters most during prime-time games or divisional matchups when public money heavily favors New England's championship mystique over current form.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New England Patriots's ATS record as after 2+ consecutive losses?

The New England Patriots have a 45-41-0 ATS record when coming off 2+ consecutive losses from 2014-2024. This translates to a 52.3% ATS win rate over 86 games in this situation.

Is betting on the New England Patriots as after 2+ consecutive losses profitable?

Betting on the Patriots after 2+ consecutive losses has been slightly unprofitable with a -0.1% ROI from 2014-2024. While their ATS record is above .500, the minimal negative return suggests break-even results after accounting for juice.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Patriots' 52.3% ATS rate after 2+ losses is slightly above the typical 50% expectation for ATS betting. However, the -0.1% ROI indicates performance right around league average when factoring in sportsbook margins.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.