Minnesota Vikings Away vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Minnesota Vikings in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away vs division rival, the Minnesota Vikings are just 6-8-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -18.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +18.2%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2016 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Vikings' struggles as road underdogs against division rivals stem from their historically inconsistent offensive identity and tendency to play down to competition. Minnesota has long been a team built on defensive prowess and special teams excellence, but their offense often becomes predictable in hostile NFC North environments where familiarity breeds contempt. Division rivals know exactly how to neutralize the Vikings' ground game and force their quarterbacks into uncomfortable throwing situations, particularly in cold-weather road games that favor more physical, grinding offensive approaches. Minnesota's coaching staff has repeatedly shown a conservative mindset in these spots, often abandoning aggressive play-calling that works in neutral or favorable game scripts. This risk-averse approach becomes magnified when facing teams like Green Bay or Chicago, where the Vikings feel pressure to prove they belong rather than simply executing their game plan. The psychological weight of playing "up" to division rivals creates tension that manifests in untimely penalties and mental errors. The key betting insight here involves game flow expectations - when Minnesota enters these contests as road dogs, they're typically fighting uphill battles where their defensive strengths get neutralized by opponent familiarity and home-field advantages. This trend carries the most weight in late-season divisional matchups where playoff implications amplify the psychological pressure.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Minnesota Vikings's ATS record as away vs division rival?
The Minnesota Vikings have a 6-8-0 ATS record when playing as the away team against division rivals from 2014-2024. This translates to a 42.9% ATS win rate over 14 games.
Is betting on the Minnesota Vikings as away vs division rival profitable?
No, betting on the Minnesota Vikings as the away team vs division rivals has not been profitable. The -18.2% ROI indicates significant losses for bettors over this 11-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is below the expected 50% ATS baseline, with the Vikings covering just 42.9% of games in this situation. The negative ROI suggests this has been one of their weaker betting scenarios compared to league-wide divisional road performance.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.