Miami Dolphins vs Conference Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Miami Dolphins show mixed results as vs conference opponent. Since 2014, they're 19-17-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +0.8%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2017 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2018 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2019 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2021 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2022 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2023 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2024 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Miami Dolphins' mediocre performance against conference opponents stems from their identity as a team that thrives on unpredictability rather than consistent execution. Miami has historically been built around explosive offensive weapons and opportunistic defense, creating a boom-or-bust profile that struggles against AFC teams who've had multiple opportunities to study their tendencies. Conference opponents benefit from seeing the Dolphins twice annually in divisional matchups, plus additional film from recent seasons, allowing them to better neutralize Miami's speed-based attack and anticipate their defensive blitz packages. The Dolphins' coaching instability over the past decade has also contributed to inconsistent game-planning against familiar foes. While Miami can catch NFC teams off-guard with their tempo and athleticism, AFC opponents have adapted to their strategic preferences, particularly their reliance on quick-strike passing plays and aggressive defensive fronts. The team's frequent roster turnover has prevented them from developing the continuity needed to consistently outmaneuver conference rivals who know their personnel intimately. For bettors, the key insight is that Miami's conference struggles intensify in road divisional games, where familiarity combines with hostile environments. This trend carries the most weight during December and January, when playoff implications heighten preparation levels and conference opponents deploy their most refined game plans against the Dolphins' predictable tendencies.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Miami Dolphins's ATS record as vs conference opponent?
The Miami Dolphins have an ATS record of 19-17-0 when playing against conference opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a solid 52.8% ATS win rate over 36 games.
Is betting on the Miami Dolphins as vs conference opponent profitable?
Betting on the Miami Dolphins against conference opponents has been marginally profitable with a 0.8% ROI from 2014-2024. While the returns are minimal, it represents a slight positive edge over the betting market.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Dolphins' 52.8% ATS win rate against conference opponents is slightly above the typical 50% league average. Their 0.8% ROI indicates modest outperformance compared to the standard break-even expectation in sports betting.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.