Miami Dolphins Medium Underdog (+3.5 to +7) Betting Trend

The Dolphins' middling performance as medium underdogs reflects their organizational inconsistency and tendency to play to the level of their competition. Miami has historically struggled with identity under pressure, often showing flashes of competitiveness against superior opponents while failing to capitalize on key moments. This pattern stems from their frequent coaching changes and quarterback instability over the past decade, creating a team that lacks the systematic approach needed to consistently outperform expectations in this spot. Miami's defensive schemes under various coordinators have shown they can generate pressure and create turnovers against better teams, keeping games closer than the spread suggests. However, their offensive execution in crucial situations often falters due to inconsistent line play and decision-making, preventing them from covering spreads they're positioned to beat. The team's South Florida culture also contributes to a relaxed approach that can manifest as either dangerous unpredictability or costly complacency. Bettors should focus on Miami's recent coaching stability and quarterback situation when evaluating these spots, as settled leadership typically improves their underdog performance significantly. This trend matters most in divisional games and prime-time matchups where Miami's talent level allows them to compete but their execution determines whether they exceed modest expectations.