Miami Dolphins Away Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Miami Dolphins in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog, the Miami Dolphins hold a record of 9-7-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +7.4% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $1 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2024 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Dolphins' solid performance as away underdogs stems from their organizational identity as a scrappy, opportunistic team that thrives when expectations are lowest. Miami has historically been built around defensive playmakers and opportunistic offense, creating a formula that works particularly well when facing superior talent on the road. When the betting market views them as significant underdogs, it often undervalues their ability to create turnovers and capitalize on opponent mistakes. The psychological aspect cannot be overlooked. Miami players have consistently responded well to the underdog mentality, particularly in hostile environments where they can embrace the "us against the world" narrative. Their coaching staffs have generally excelled at game-planning for specific opponents when given extra preparation time, allowing them to exploit weaknesses that the betting market may not fully account for. The key insight for bettors is recognizing that Miami's variance as road underdogs often creates value when they're catching significant points against teams with offensive inconsistencies. The Dolphins' defensive opportunism becomes most valuable when opponents are expected to dominate but lack the discipline to avoid costly mistakes. This trend matters most in divisional road games and against teams with turnover-prone quarterbacks, where Miami's opportunistic style can flip games quickly.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Miami Dolphins's ATS record as away underdog?
The Miami Dolphins have a 9-7-0 ATS record as away underdogs from 2014-2024. This means they covered the spread in 9 games, failed to cover in 7 games, with no pushes.
Is betting on the Miami Dolphins as away underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Miami Dolphins as away underdogs has been profitable with a 7.4% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite a 0.0% straight-up win rate, their ATS performance generated positive returns for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Dolphins' 56.3% ATS cover rate as away underdogs is above the typical 50% break-even point. The 7.4% ROI indicates they've been more profitable than average in this specific betting situation.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.