Miami Dolphins After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Miami Dolphins in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a win, the Miami Dolphins are just 15-24-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -26.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +26.6%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2017 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2018 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2019 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2020 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2021 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2022 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Dolphins' struggles after victories stem from a combination of organizational instability and psychological fragility that has plagued the franchise for over a decade. Miami has cycled through multiple coaching staffs and quarterback situations, creating an environment where the team lacks the mental fortitude to build momentum from positive results. This constant turnover has prevented the development of a winning culture where success breeds more success. The team's tendency to let down after wins reflects deeper issues with preparation and focus. Miami has historically been a team that plays to the level of their competition, often looking ahead or becoming complacent after achieving a positive result. The coaching staff's inability to maintain consistent messaging and game-planning standards has contributed to this boom-bust cycle, where emotional highs are frequently followed by flat performances. From a betting perspective, this trend creates value opportunities when backing Miami's opponents in bounce-back spots. The market often overreacts to a Dolphins victory, inflating their lines in subsequent games despite this clear pattern of inconsistency. This trend matters most when Miami faces divisional opponents or teams coming off losses, as the psychological edge shifts dramatically against a Dolphins squad that has proven unable to capitalize on positive momentum.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Miami Dolphins's ATS record as after a win?
The Miami Dolphins have a 15-24-0 ATS record after a win from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 38.5% of games following victories.
Is betting on the Miami Dolphins as after a win profitable?
No, betting on the Miami Dolphins after a win is not profitable, with a -26.6% ROI indicating significant losses for bettors over this period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is well below the typical league average of around 50% ATS, making the Dolphins one of the worst teams to bet on following wins.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.