Los Angeles Rams Large Underdog (+7.5+) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Los Angeles Rams in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the Los Angeles Rams hold a record of 16-3-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +60.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $12 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Rams' exceptional performance as large underdogs stems from their organizational culture of resilience and tactical adaptability under Sean McVay's leadership. When facing significant point spreads, Los Angeles benefits from reduced pressure and the ability to deploy more aggressive, high-variance strategies that can catch favored opponents off-guard. McVay's offensive creativity particularly shines in these spots, as he's more willing to call trick plays, go for it on fourth down, and utilize unconventional formations when his team has nothing to lose. The franchise's recent championship pedigree also plays a crucial role in these situations. Players who've experienced Super Bowl success don't fold under adversity the way rebuilding teams might. Instead, they view large spreads as disrespectful and respond with elevated focus. The Rams' defensive coordinator often simplifies schemes in underdog roles, allowing talented players like Aaron Donald to freelance and create game-changing moments that swing both momentum and point spreads. For bettors, the key insight is recognizing when the Rams face elite opponents in primetime or playoff-adjacent games where their veteran leadership becomes most valuable. This trend carries maximum weight in divisional matchups and nationally televised games where pride and preparation intersect with favorable betting value.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Rams's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?
The Los Angeles Rams have an outstanding 16-3-0 ATS record when they are large underdogs of +7.5 points or more from 2014-2024. This represents an 84.2% ATS win rate in these situations.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Rams as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Rams as large underdogs has been highly profitable with a 60.8% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite never winning outright in these games (0.0% win rate), they consistently cover the spread.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Rams' 84.2% ATS rate as large underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for underdogs. Their 60.8% ROI is exceptionally strong compared to standard betting expectations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.