Los Angeles Rams Home Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Los Angeles Rams in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Los Angeles Rams hold a record of 10-7-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +12.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $2 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2018 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Rams' success as home underdogs stems from their ability to leverage the psychological dynamics that create underdog situations in the first place. When Los Angeles finds itself getting points at home, it typically indicates the betting market has overcorrected based on recent poor performances, injuries to key players, or facing a hot opponent. These scenarios often bring out the best in Sean McVay's coaching, as his offensive creativity shines when game plans aren't constrained by heavy favorite expectations. The franchise's modern identity under McVay has been built on explosive offensive potential that can flip games quickly, making them particularly dangerous when the public has written them off. Their home field advantage at SoFi Stadium, while not traditionally raucous, provides familiarity with playing conditions and eliminates travel fatigue that often contributes to underdog designations. The Rams also possess the type of veteran leadership and playoff experience that responds well to adversity. Bettors should target Rams home underdog spots when the line seems inflated due to recency bias rather than fundamental team weaknesses. This trend carries the most weight in divisional games and primetime spots where motivation peaks and McVay's preparation advantages are most pronounced.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Rams's ATS record as home underdog?
The Los Angeles Rams have a 10-7-0 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This means they covered the spread in 10 games, failed to cover in 7 games, with no pushes.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Rams as home underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Rams as home underdogs has been profitable with a 12.3% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite a 0.0% win rate in these games, they consistently covered spreads at a high rate.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Rams' 58.8% ATS cover rate as home underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. Their 12.3% ROI indicates strong value in this betting situation.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.