The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Rams in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the Los Angeles Rams are just 15-22-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -22.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +22.6%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record15-22-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size37 games
ROI-22.6%
Units Won-8.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-2-00.0%+14.6%
20150-3-00.0%-100.0%
20161-1-00.0%-4.5%
20170-1-00.0%-100.0%
20182-2-00.0%-4.5%
20190-2-00.0%-100.0%
20202-2-00.0%-4.5%
20213-0-00.0%+90.9%
20223-4-00.0%-18.2%
20231-3-00.0%-52.3%
20240-2-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Rams' struggles as favorites stem from a franchise that has historically operated with volatile roster construction and inconsistent organizational direction. Los Angeles has undergone multiple coaching changes, quarterback carousels, and dramatic roster overhauls throughout this period, creating a team that rarely maintains the steady foundation needed to consistently cover spreads when expected to win. Sean McVay's arrival transformed the franchise's ceiling, but the Rams' aggressive all-in mentality creates unique pressures when favored. Their high-octane offensive system and expensive veteran acquisitions generate inflated public expectations, often pushing lines beyond what their actual game-to-game reliability warrants. The team's tendency to play down to competition reflects a squad built for peak performance rather than consistent execution against lesser opponents. The Rams' defensive inconsistencies compound this issue, as their secondary has been particularly vulnerable to explosive plays that can quickly erase comfortable leads. When laying points, these defensive lapses become magnified, turning what should be routine victories into backdoor covers for opponents. This trend matters most when the Rams are road favorites or laying more than a touchdown, situations where their talent advantage gets neutralized by execution issues and the inherent variance in their high-variance offensive system.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Rams's ATS record as as favorite?

The Los Angeles Rams have a 15-22-0 ATS record when favored from 2014-2024, covering the spread in just 40.5% of games. This represents a poor track record of 22 failed covers against the spread as favorites.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Rams as as favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Los Angeles Rams as favorites has not been profitable, showing a -22.6% ROI from 2014-2024. A $100 bet on the Rams as favorites in every game would have resulted in a loss of $22.60 per game on average.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Rams' 40.5% ATS win rate as favorites is significantly below the expected 50% break-even point and likely well below league average for favored teams. Most successful NFL teams cover the spread closer to 50% when favored, making the Rams' performance particularly poor in this spot.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.