Los Angeles Chargers vs Conference Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Chargers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs conference opponent, the Los Angeles Chargers are just 16-20-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -15.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +15.2%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2015 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2016 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2018 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2019 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2022 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Chargers' struggles against conference opponents stem from their historically inconsistent identity and coaching instability that plagued the franchise through multiple regime changes. AFC West divisional games expose Los Angeles' tendency to play down to competition while simultaneously struggling against superior opponents who know their personnel intimately. The team's chronic issues with game management and late-game execution become magnified in conference play, where familiarity breeds opportunity for opponents to exploit these weaknesses. Los Angeles has consistently dealt with roster turnover and scheme changes that create adjustment periods, particularly problematic when facing conference foes twice annually who can gameplan specifically for their tendencies. The Chargers' talent level often creates inflated public perception and betting lines, especially in marquee AFC matchups, leading to consistent value on their opponents. Their recent improved form suggests some stabilization under current leadership, but the underlying structural issues that created this trend haven't been fully resolved. Bettors should be particularly cautious backing the Chargers as favorites against AFC opponents, especially in primetime spots where public money inflates their lines. This trend carries the most weight during divisional games and when Los Angeles is laying points against familiar conference rivals.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Chargers's ATS record as vs conference opponent?
The Los Angeles Chargers have a 16-20-0 ATS record when playing against conference opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 44.4% ATS win rate over 36 games.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Chargers as vs conference opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Los Angeles Chargers against conference opponents has not been profitable, showing a -15.2% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Chargers in these matchups.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Chargers' 44.4% ATS win rate against conference opponents is below the typical 50% league average expected in spread betting. Their performance in these divisional and conference matchups has been consistently poor for bettors over this 11-year period.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.