Los Angeles Chargers Medium Favorite (-3.5 to -7) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Los Angeles Chargers show mixed results as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7). Since 2014, they're 7-7-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -4.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Chargers' mediocre performance as medium favorites stems from their historical tendency to play down to competition and struggle with expectations. This franchise has long battled inconsistency issues, often entering games with superior talent but failing to execute when the market expects them to control the game. Their coaching staff has frequently struggled with game management in situations where they should be dictating pace and tempo. Los Angeles tends to excel when they're underdogs or in close contests where their playmakers can make individual impact plays, but as medium favorites, they often rely too heavily on systematic execution rather than explosive talent. The team's defensive secondary, while talented, has shown vulnerability to well-prepared offensive game plans when opponents have extra time to study film. Additionally, the Chargers have historically dealt with depth issues that become exposed in games where they're expected to pull away from lesser opponents. The psychological factor cannot be ignored either - this organization has dealt with decades of close losses and "Chargers-ing" moments that seem to creep into players' minds when they're supposed to be in control. This trend matters most when the Chargers face division opponents or teams coming off bye weeks, where preparation time amplifies their tendency to underperform expectations.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Chargers's ATS record as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7)?
The Los Angeles Chargers have a 7-7-0 ATS record when favored by 3.5 to 7 points from 2014-2024. This represents a 50% ATS win rate over 14 games in this betting situation.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Chargers as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7) profitable?
No, betting on the Chargers as medium favorites has not been profitable, showing a -4.5% ROI. Despite the even 7-7 ATS record, the negative return indicates losses due to standard -110 betting juice.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Chargers' 50% ATS win rate as medium favorites is slightly below the expected break-even rate needed to overcome standard sportsbook vigorish. Most successful ATS trends require a 52.4% win rate to be profitable long-term.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.