The public often underestimates the Los Angeles Chargers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the Los Angeles Chargers hold a record of 14-4-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +48.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $9 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record14-4-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size18 games
ROI+48.5%
Units Won+8.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-1-00.0%+27.3%
20153-0-00.0%+90.9%
20170-1-00.0%-100.0%
20181-0-00.0%+90.9%
20193-0-00.0%+90.9%
20201-0-00.0%+90.9%
20211-0-00.0%+90.9%
20221-0-00.0%+90.9%
20232-2-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Chargers' exceptional performance as large underdogs stems from their tendency to play loose and aggressive when expectations are lowest. This franchise has historically possessed the talent to compete with elite teams but often struggled with consistency and execution in games they're expected to win. When facing significant point spreads, the pressure shifts entirely to their opponents, allowing Los Angeles to deploy more creative game plans and take calculated risks they might avoid in closer contests. Their defensive coordinator typically becomes more aggressive with blitz packages and coverage schemes when trailing by multiple scores, creating unexpected pressure on opposing quarterbacks who may have prepared for more conservative looks. The Chargers' offensive system also benefits from the underdog role, as they're more likely to utilize their full playbook rather than playing it safe with vanilla concepts. The psychological element cannot be understated – this team has repeatedly shown they perform better when playing with house money rather than protecting leads or meeting high expectations. Their special teams units, often overlooked in game planning, tend to create more impact plays when opponents focus primarily on stopping their primary offensive weapons. This trend matters most in primetime games or against playoff-bound teams where the talent gap may be smaller than the spread suggests.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Chargers's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?

The Los Angeles Chargers have an outstanding 14-4-0 ATS record when they are large underdogs of +7.5 points or more from 2014-2024. This represents a 77.8% ATS win rate in these situations.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Chargers as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Chargers as large underdogs has been highly profitable with a 48.5% ROI over this period. Despite never winning these games outright (0.0% win rate), they consistently cover the spread.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 77.8% ATS rate significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for large underdogs. The Chargers have been exceptionally reliable at keeping games closer than expected when facing big point spreads.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.