Los Angeles Chargers Home Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Los Angeles Chargers show mixed results as home favorite. Since 2014, they're 11-11-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -4.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Chargers' mediocre performance as home favorites stems from their historical tendency to play down to competition and struggle with expectations. This franchise has long battled inconsistency issues, particularly when laying points at home where the pressure to dominate weaker opponents often exposes their mental fragility. The team's offensive identity under various coaching regimes has frequently relied on big-play capability rather than methodical drives, making them vulnerable to covering larger spreads when opponents pack the defense and force longer possessions. Los Angeles also carries the burden of playing in a market where visiting fans often outnumber home supporters, effectively neutralizing any genuine home-field advantage. This atmospheric challenge becomes magnified when they're expected to win convincingly, as road teams feel more comfortable and Chargers players sense the lack of crowd energy. The franchise's injury-prone nature, especially at key positions, has historically made them unreliable when favored by significant margins. For bettors, the key insight is recognizing when the Chargers face divisional opponents or teams with strong rushing attacks that can control tempo and keep games closer than the spread suggests. This trend matters most in primetime games or against AFC West rivals, where familiarity breeds competitive contests regardless of talent gaps.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Chargers's ATS record as home favorite?
The Los Angeles Chargers have an 11-11-0 ATS record as home favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread exactly 50% of the time.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Chargers as home favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Chargers as home favorites has not been profitable, showing a -4.5% ROI despite the even ATS record. The negative return indicates consistent losses to the betting juice/vig.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 50% ATS rate is slightly below the typical expectation for home favorites, who generally cover around 52-53% of the time league-wide. The negative ROI confirms underperformance relative to betting market expectations.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.