The public often underestimates the Los Angeles Chargers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Los Angeles Chargers hold a record of 12-9-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +9.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $2 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record12-9-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size21 games
ROI+9.1%
Units Won+1.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-2-00.0%-36.4%
20151-0-00.0%+90.9%
20160-1-00.0%-100.0%
20171-1-00.0%-4.5%
20181-1-00.0%-4.5%
20193-0-00.0%+90.9%
20201-1-00.0%-4.5%
20211-1-00.0%-4.5%
20222-0-00.0%+90.9%
20231-2-00.0%-36.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Chargers' success as home underdogs stems from their ability to thrive when expectations are lowered and the pressure shifts to their opponents. This franchise has historically been built around explosive offensive talent - from the Philip Rivers era through Justin Herbert's emergence - that can strike quickly against overconfident road favorites. When oddsmakers install them as underdogs at home, it typically reflects concerns about their defense or recent inconsistency, but these same factors often create the perfect storm for their high-powered offense to exceed expectations. Los Angeles benefits significantly from the psychological dynamic of playing undervalued at home. Their offensive coordinators have consistently exploited aggressive game plans from road favorites who expect to control the game, leading to big plays through the air. The team's tendency toward inconsistency actually works in their favor as underdogs, as opponents often prepare for the "bad" version of the Chargers while facing the motivated, back-against-the-wall version. The key betting insight here is recognizing when the Chargers are catching points due to recent poor defensive performances rather than offensive struggles. This trend carries the most weight in divisional games and primetime spots where the emotional factor amplifies their underdog mentality.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Chargers's ATS record as home underdog?

The Los Angeles Chargers have an ATS record of 12-9-0 as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 57.1% ATS win rate over 21 games.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Chargers as home underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Chargers as home underdogs has been profitable with a 9.1% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite covering the spread at a solid 57.1% rate, they have won 0% of these games straight up.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Chargers' 57.1% ATS win rate as home underdogs is above the typical league average of around 50%. Their 9.1% ROI indicates strong value in this betting situation over the past decade.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.