Los Angeles Chargers Favorite After 3+ Game Losing Streak Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Chargers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as favorite after 3+ game losing streak, the Los Angeles Chargers are just 17-27-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -26.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +26.2%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2016 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2018 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2019 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2020 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2022 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Chargers' struggles as favorites following extended losing streaks stem from a franchise-defining pattern of psychological fragility and roster construction issues. When Los Angeles enters these spots, they're typically dealing with the dual pressure of public expectation and internal doubt - a toxic combination for a team historically prone to late-game collapses and special teams breakdowns. The oddsmakers often overcompensate for the Chargers' talent level, particularly when Justin Herbert is healthy, creating inflated lines that don't account for the team's mental state. What makes this trend particularly exploitable is the Chargers' tendency to play tight in these bounce-back spots. Their coaching staff has historically struggled with game management in pressure situations, leading to conservative play-calling that fails to maximize their offensive weapons. The defense, while talented on paper, has consistently wilted under the weight of protecting leads when the team is expected to dominate. Sharp bettors should target the Chargers' opponents in these scenarios, especially when the spread exceeds a touchdown. The value lies in recognizing that talent alone doesn't overcome institutional dysfunction. This trend carries the most weight in divisional games and primetime spots where the pressure amplifies.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Chargers's ATS record as favorite after 3+ game losing streak?
The Los Angeles Chargers have an ATS record of 17-27-0 (38.6%) when favored after a 3+ game losing streak from 2014-2024. This represents 44 total games where they were betting favorites following extended losing streaks.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Chargers as favorite after 3+ game losing streak profitable?
No, betting on the Chargers as favorites after 3+ game losing streaks is not profitable, showing a -26.2% ROI. Despite being favored by oddsmakers, they have failed to cover the spread in these situations at a concerning rate.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 38.6% ATS rate is significantly below the expected 50% baseline for spread betting and likely well below league average for favorites in similar situations. The consistent underperformance suggests a notable trend of the Chargers struggling to meet elevated expectations after losing streaks.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.