Las Vegas Raiders vs Non-Conference Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Las Vegas Raiders in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs non-conference opponent, the Las Vegas Raiders are just 22-23-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -6.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +6.7%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2016 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 4-5-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2018 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2019 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2021 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2022 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2024 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Raiders' struggles against non-conference opponents stem from their organizational instability and inconsistent preparation approach over the past decade. Las Vegas has cycled through multiple coaching staffs and front office regimes, creating a franchise that often lacks the systematic game-planning advantages needed when facing unfamiliar opponents from the AFC. Unlike division games where teams know each other intimately, non-conference matchups require deeper film study and strategic adjustments that have historically challenged the Raiders' coaching consistency. The franchise's tendency to rely heavily on individual talent rather than cohesive scheme execution becomes more pronounced against non-conference teams. When facing unfamiliar offensive and defensive systems, the Raiders often struggle to make in-game adjustments, particularly on the road where crowd noise compounds communication issues. Their recent coaching changes have also meant less continuity in how they prepare for these less frequent matchups. For bettors, the key insight is recognizing when the Raiders face non-conference opponents with established, disciplined coaching staffs who excel at exploiting preparation gaps. This trend carries the most weight during early-season non-conference games when new Raiders coaching implementations are still being refined and tested against unfamiliar competition.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Las Vegas Raiders's ATS record as vs non-conference opponent?
The Las Vegas Raiders have a 22-23-0 ATS record when playing against non-conference opponents from 2014-2024. This translates to a 48.9% ATS win rate over 45 games.
Is betting on the Las Vegas Raiders as vs non-conference opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Las Vegas Raiders against non-conference opponents has not been profitable, showing a -6.7% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Raiders in these matchups.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Raiders' 48.9% ATS win rate against non-conference opponents is slightly below the expected 50% break-even point. While not drastically worse than average, the -6.7% ROI demonstrates underperformance relative to betting market expectations.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.