Las Vegas Raiders vs Division Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Las Vegas Raiders in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs division opponent, the Las Vegas Raiders are just 7-12-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -29.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +29.7%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2018 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Raiders' poor divisional performance stems from their inconsistent roster construction and coaching instability over the past decade. Playing in the ultra-competitive AFC West against perennial powerhouses like Kansas City and Denver creates a perfect storm where Las Vegas consistently enters games as underdogs yet fails to cover even generous point spreads. The franchise's tendency to make splashy free agent signings without addressing fundamental issues in coaching and team chemistry has left them vulnerable against division rivals who know their weaknesses intimately. Las Vegas particularly struggles with the familiarity factor that comes with playing teams twice per season. Their offensive line deficiencies get exploited more effectively by defensive coordinators who've had multiple opportunities to study film and game-plan specifically for Derek Carr or whoever's under center. The Raiders' defense has also shown a pattern of allowing explosive plays in crucial moments, which division opponents have learned to capitalize on through targeted play-calling. The most actionable insight here is to consider fading the Raiders when they're road favorites against division opponents, as their emotional volatility and poor road discipline compound against teams that know how to push their buttons. This trend carries the most weight in late-season divisional matchups when playoff implications amplify the psychological pressure on an already fragile franchise.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Las Vegas Raiders's ATS record as vs division opponent?
The Las Vegas Raiders have a 7-12-0 ATS record when playing against division opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 36.8% ATS win rate over 19 divisional games.
Is betting on the Las Vegas Raiders as vs division opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Las Vegas Raiders against division opponents has not been profitable, with a -29.7% ROI. This means bettors would have lost nearly 30% of their investment over this period.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Raiders' 36.8% ATS win rate against division opponents is significantly below the league average of approximately 50%. Their performance in divisional games has been particularly poor for bettors compared to typical NFL expectations.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.