Las Vegas Raiders Home Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Las Vegas Raiders show mixed results as home underdog. Since 2014, they're 13-11-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +3.4%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2016 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2018 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2023 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2024 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Raiders' solid performance as home underdogs stems from their organizational culture of embracing the underdog mentality, dating back to their "Just Win, Baby" ethos. This franchise has historically thrived when expectations are low, allowing them to play loose and aggressive without the pressure of being favored. The Black Hole faithful in Las Vegas create an intimidating atmosphere that amplifies when their team is disrespected by oddsmakers, generating the kind of emotional energy that can swing close games. Las Vegas tends to get undervalued at home because their flashy offensive schemes and aggressive defensive approach often mask underlying fundamentals that show up in crucial moments. When playing from behind in the betting market, the Raiders typically abandon conservative game plans and unleash their full arsenal, leading to more explosive plays and backdoor covers. Their coaching staff has shown a willingness to take calculated risks in these spots, whether through fourth-down attempts or unconventional play-calling that catches opponents off guard. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when the Raiders are getting disrespected by a field goal or more at home, particularly against divisional opponents or teams coming off emotional victories. This trend carries the most weight in primetime games where the atmosphere reaches its peak intensity and the Raiders can feed off crowd energy to exceed lowered expectations.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Las Vegas Raiders's ATS record as home underdog?
The Las Vegas Raiders have a 13-11-0 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents a 54.2% ATS win rate over 24 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Las Vegas Raiders as home underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Raiders as home underdogs has been profitable with a 3.4% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Despite the positive ROI, their 0.0% straight-up win rate indicates they rarely win these games outright but often cover the spread.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Raiders' 54.2% ATS win rate as home underdogs is above the typical 50% expectation for spread betting. Their 3.4% ROI suggests they perform better than average in this specific situation, making them a historically profitable bet when getting points at home.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.