Las Vegas Raiders Away Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Las Vegas Raiders in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Las Vegas Raiders are just 6-19-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -54.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +54.2%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2018 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2021 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Raiders' struggles as away favorites stem from a franchise-wide identity crisis that has persisted through multiple coaching changes and relocations. Las Vegas has historically built its reputation on grit and underdog mentality, making them psychologically uncomfortable when expected to dominate inferior opponents on the road. This discomfort manifests in lackadaisical preparation and overconfident game plans that fail to account for desperate home underdogs playing with nothing to lose. The team's transient nature, having moved from Oakland to Las Vegas, has created an unstable organizational culture that lacks the systematic approach needed to handle favoritism. Road environments amplify these issues, as the Raiders often abandon their identity-driven running game and defensive intensity in favor of flashy passing attacks that don't translate against motivated underdogs. Their coaching staff has consistently failed to maintain focus when facing theoretically weaker opponents, leading to predictable letdowns. Bettors should target Raiders away favorites specifically when they're laying more than a field goal against teams with strong home records or those coming off emotional losses. This trend carries maximum weight in divisional matchups and late-season games where desperate opponents have everything to gain.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Las Vegas Raiders's ATS record as away favorite?
The Las Vegas Raiders have a 6-19-0 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 24% of games. This represents one of the poorest away favorite performances in the NFL over this period.
Is betting on the Las Vegas Raiders as away favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Las Vegas Raiders as away favorites is not profitable, with a -54.2% ROI from 2014-2024. A $100 bet on each game would have resulted in a loss of approximately $1,355 over 25 games.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as away favorites typically cover around 45-50% of the time. The Raiders' 24% cover rate as away favorites ranks among the worst in the NFL during this timeframe.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.