The data suggests caution when backing the Las Vegas Raiders in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a win, the Las Vegas Raiders are just 15-18-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -13.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +13.2%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record15-18-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size33 games
ROI-13.2%
Units Won-4.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20153-2-00.0%+14.6%
20160-1-00.0%-100.0%
20171-1-00.0%-4.5%
20183-1-00.0%+43.2%
20191-2-00.0%-36.4%
20201-2-00.0%-36.4%
20210-4-00.0%-100.0%
20221-2-00.0%-36.4%
20235-2-00.0%+36.4%
20240-1-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Raiders' poor performance against the spread following victories stems from a combination of organizational instability and psychological letdown patterns that have plagued the franchise for over a decade. Las Vegas has experienced constant coaching changes, front office turnover, and roster upheaval since 2014, creating an environment where maintaining momentum after positive results becomes nearly impossible. This instability manifests in inconsistent game preparation and execution, particularly when the team might naturally relax after a confidence-boosting win. The franchise's transient nature, including the actual relocation from Oakland to Las Vegas, has contributed to a lack of sustained identity and culture. Players and coaches struggle to build the type of systematic approach that allows successful teams to stack victories and maintain focus week-to-week. The Raiders often show flashes of competence that generate optimism, only to follow with underwhelming performances that suggest deeper structural issues. Bettors should be particularly cautious backing Las Vegas as road favorites after wins, where the combination of overconfidence and challenging travel scenarios creates the most dangerous betting spots. This trend carries the most weight during mid-season stretches when the Raiders appear to be building momentum, as these are precisely the moments when the market overadjusts to their recent success.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Las Vegas Raiders's ATS record as after a win?

The Las Vegas Raiders have a 15-18-0 ATS record after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 45.5% ATS win rate in these situations.

Is betting on the Las Vegas Raiders as after a win profitable?

No, betting on the Raiders after a win is not profitable with a -13.2% ROI. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Raiders in this spot.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Raiders' 45.5% ATS win rate after wins is below the expected 50% break-even point. This underperformance suggests the betting market may overvalue the Raiders following victories.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.