Kansas City Chiefs Sunday Games Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Kansas City Chiefs in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as sunday games, the Kansas City Chiefs are just 44-45-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -5.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +5.6%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2015 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2016 | 4-4-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2018 | 5-5-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2020 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2021 | 6-1-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2022 | 4-5-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2023 | 7-6-0 | 0.0% | +2.8% |
| 2024 | 7-6-0 | 0.0% | +2.8% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Chiefs' mediocre Sunday performance against the spread stems from their status as a consistently overvalued public favorite. Kansas City's explosive offensive reputation and Patrick Mahomes' star power create inflated expectations that oddsmakers capitalize on, particularly during prime Sunday slots when casual betting volume peaks. The team's high-profile nature means they're often laying significant points, making covers more challenging despite their talent advantage. Andy Reid's methodical approach also plays a role in these underwhelming ATS results. The Chiefs have mastered the art of winning ugly, often controlling games without delivering the blowouts that bettors expect. Their ability to manage leads and play conservative football when ahead frequently results in narrow victories that fail to cover inflated spreads. This tactical discipline, while effective for winning games, works against spread bettors who need style points. The recent uptick in their Sunday form suggests the market may be adjusting to their more measured approach under Reid's veteran leadership. However, bettors should remain cautious when Kansas City is laying double-digit spreads on Sundays, as public perception continues to outpace their actual dominance margins. This trend matters most during regular season divisional games and primetime Sunday matchups when public betting heavily inflates the lines.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Kansas City Chiefs's ATS record as sunday games?
The Kansas City Chiefs have a 44-45-0 ATS record in Sunday games from 2014-2024. This translates to a 49.4% win rate against the spread in Sunday contests.
Is betting on the Kansas City Chiefs as sunday games profitable?
No, betting on the Kansas City Chiefs in Sunday games has not been profitable, showing a -5.6% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Chiefs ATS on Sundays.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Chiefs' 49.4% ATS win rate in Sunday games is slightly below the expected 50% break-even point and typical league averages. Most successful ATS teams maintain win rates above 52-53% to overcome the standard -110 betting juice.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.