Kansas City Chiefs Primetime Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Kansas City Chiefs in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Kansas City Chiefs hold a record of 28-14-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +27.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $11 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2017 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2019 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2023 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 6-4-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Chiefs' exceptional performance as primetime underdogs stems from their organizational culture of embracing the underdog mentality, even when they've been among the NFL's elite. Andy Reid's coaching philosophy thrives when his team can play loose and aggressive without the weight of heavy expectations, allowing for more creative play-calling and risk-taking that often catches favored opponents off-guard. Kansas City's explosive offensive capabilities become even more dangerous when oddsmakers underestimate them. Patrick Mahomes performs exceptionally well when doubted, using perceived slights as motivation while benefiting from game plans that emphasize big-play potential over conservative ball control. The team's speed and athleticism create mismatches that become amplified under primetime lights, where their skill position players can showcase their abilities on the biggest stage. The psychological edge cannot be understated - this franchise has built its identity around proving doubters wrong, dating back to their championship runs. When positioned as underdogs in marquee games, they often face opponents who may overlook their capabilities or play tight under pressure. Bettors should particularly target Chiefs primetime underdog spots when they're facing teams with recent success but questionable depth, as Kansas City's talent advantage often becomes apparent in high-leverage moments.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Kansas City Chiefs's ATS record as primetime underdog?
The Kansas City Chiefs have a 28-14-0 ATS record as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This means they have covered the spread in 28 games, failed to cover in 14 games, with no pushes.
Is betting on the Kansas City Chiefs as primetime underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Kansas City Chiefs as primetime underdogs has been highly profitable with a 27.3% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite a 0.0% straight-up win rate, their strong ATS performance has generated significant returns for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Chiefs' 66.7% ATS cover rate (28-14) as primetime underdogs significantly exceeds the typical league average of around 50%. Their 27.3% ROI is exceptionally strong compared to the league average ROI of approximately -4.5% to -5%.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.