Kansas City Chiefs Away Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Kansas City Chiefs in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Kansas City Chiefs are just 4-6-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -23.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +23.6%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2019 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Chiefs' struggles as road favorites following defeats stem from their historically aggressive offensive identity clashing with the psychological weight of bouncing back in hostile environments. Kansas City's high-octane passing attack, built around elite quarterback play, often requires precise timing and rhythm that can be disrupted when facing motivated home underdogs eager to capitalize on the Chiefs' perceived vulnerability after a loss. Road environments naturally amplify the pressure on favorites, and the Chiefs have shown a tendency to press when trying to immediately erase the memory of poor performances. Their fast-paced offensive system can become counterproductive when they abandon their methodical approach in favor of forcing explosive plays, leading to turnovers and stalled drives that keep games closer than the betting line suggests. The psychological element cannot be understated - opposing teams and their home crowds sense blood in the water when facing a wounded favorite, creating an atmosphere where underdogs play with house money while the Chiefs carry the burden of expectation. This dynamic often produces the type of grinding, low-scoring affairs that favor the points rather than the superior talent. This trend matters most when the Chiefs are laying significant points on the road after divisional losses or defeats to quality opponents.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Kansas City Chiefs's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?
The Kansas City Chiefs have a 4-6-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 40% ATS win rate over 10 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Kansas City Chiefs as away favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Kansas City Chiefs as away favorites after a loss has not been profitable. This betting strategy shows a -23.6% ROI with a 0% win rate, indicating consistent losses for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below league average expectations. Most teams perform closer to 50% ATS as favorites, making the Chiefs' 40% rate and negative ROI notably poor in this specific situation.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.