Kansas City Chiefs Away Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Kansas City Chiefs in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Kansas City Chiefs are just 7-12-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -29.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +29.7%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2019 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Chiefs' struggles as road favorites stem from their explosive offensive identity creating inflated expectations in hostile environments. Kansas City's high-octane passing attack, built around Patrick Mahomes' arm talent, naturally draws heavy public betting action when they're favored away from Arrowhead. This public perception often pushes spreads beyond what the underlying fundamentals support, particularly when facing defensively sound home underdogs who can control tempo and limit possessions. Andy Reid's aggressive play-calling philosophy, while effective in neutral game scripts, can backfire when Kansas City faces early deficits on the road. The Chiefs' tendency to abandon their running game early forces them into predictable passing situations, allowing disciplined home defenses to pin their ears back and generate pressure. Their defensive inconsistencies become magnified in road environments where crowd noise disrupts their communication and timing. The psychological element cannot be ignored either. As perennial contenders, Kansas City often faces opponents' best efforts at home, with underdogs playing inspired football in front of energized crowds. The Chiefs' championship pedigree creates a target on their back that manifests most clearly in road spots where they're expected to dominate. This trend carries the most weight when Kansas City travels to face defensively stout teams with strong home-field advantages, particularly in primetime or divisional matchups where motivation levels peak.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Kansas City Chiefs's ATS record as away favorite?
The Kansas City Chiefs have a 7-12-0 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024. This represents a 36.8% ATS win rate over 19 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Kansas City Chiefs as away favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Kansas City Chiefs as away favorites has not been profitable. The -29.7% ROI indicates significant losses, with the team failing to cover the spread in nearly two-thirds of these games.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is well below the league average of approximately 50% ATS for away favorites. The Chiefs' 36.8% ATS win rate in this situation ranks among the worst in the NFL over this timeframe.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.