Kansas City Chiefs Away Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Kansas City Chiefs in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog, the Kansas City Chiefs hold a record of 13-5-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +37.9% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $7 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2023 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Chiefs' exceptional performance as away underdogs stems from their unique combination of championship pedigree and motivational psychology. When oddsmakers doubt Kansas City on the road, they're often undervaluing the mental toughness that comes from multiple Super Bowl runs and Patrick Mahomes' proven ability to elevate his game in hostile environments. The team thrives on disrespect, and being labeled an underdog away from Arrowhead provides the perfect storm of motivation for a roster accustomed to being favored. Andy Reid's offensive system becomes particularly dangerous when expectations are lowered. The Chiefs' ability to script explosive plays early in games allows them to quickly shift momentum, while their experience in playoff atmospheres makes them less susceptible to road pressure than typical visiting teams. Mahomes specifically has shown a pattern of outperforming his statistical projections when facing adversity, turning potential weaknesses into strategic advantages. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when the market overreacts to situational factors like injuries, recent struggles, or tough matchups. Kansas City's championship DNA often gets discounted in these scenarios, creating value opportunities. This trend matters most when the Chiefs face quality opponents in primetime or divisional road games, where the combination of elevated competition and underdog status creates optimal betting conditions.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Kansas City Chiefs's ATS record as away underdog?
The Kansas City Chiefs have a 13-5-0 ATS record as away underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 72.2% ATS win rate in this situation.
Is betting on the Kansas City Chiefs as away underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Chiefs as away underdogs has been highly profitable with a 37.9% ROI. This represents excellent value over the 10-year period despite the team's overall success.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Chiefs' 72.2% ATS win rate as away underdogs significantly exceeds the typical 50% league average. Their 37.9% ROI indicates they consistently outperform expectations in this underdog role.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
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All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.