Jacksonville Jaguars Large Favorite (-7.5+) Betting Trend

The Jaguars' abysmal performance as large favorites stems from a fundamental organizational issue: they've rarely been good enough to warrant such hefty spreads. When Jacksonville does find itself laying significant points, it typically represents an overreaction by oddsmakers to temporary hot streaks or matchup advantages that don't reflect the team's true capabilities. Jacksonville's struggles in these spots reveal a team that lacks the killer instinct and depth necessary to blow out inferior opponents. The Jaguars have historically been plagued by inconsistent quarterback play and coaching decisions that prevent them from maintaining leads or executing game plans when expected to dominate. Their tendency to play down to competition level becomes magnified when the betting public expects them to cruise to easy victories. The psychological pressure of being heavily favored appears to weigh heavily on a franchise unaccustomed to such expectations. Jacksonville often enters these games with inflated confidence that quickly evaporates when facing any adversity, leading to tight contests against teams they should handle comfortably. Bettors should strongly consider fading Jacksonville as large favorites, particularly in divisional games or against desperate opponents where motivation disparities can be most pronounced. This trend carries the most weight when the Jaguars are coming off impressive performances that may have inflated the line beyond their actual capabilities.