Jacksonville Jaguars Home Games Betting Trend

The Jaguars' poor home performance against the spread stems from a perfect storm of organizational dysfunction and market inefficiencies. Jacksonville has struggled with coaching instability and roster turnover throughout this period, creating an environment where home-field advantage becomes meaningless. The team's inability to develop consistent offensive schemes or defensive identity has been particularly damaging at TIAA Bank Field, where fans expect competent football and instead witness repeated breakdowns in execution. Market perception plays a crucial role in these struggles. Oddsmakers and the betting public often overvalue home-field advantage for struggling franchises, creating inflated lines that Jacksonville rarely justifies. The Jaguars have consistently failed to capitalize on favorable scheduling spots at home, particularly in divisional games where familiarity should breed success. Their recent coaching carousel has prevented any meaningful establishment of a home culture or strategic advantage that typically develops over multiple seasons. The psychological burden of playing at home has actually worked against Jacksonville. Pressure from an increasingly frustrated fanbase, combined with media scrutiny in a football-obsessed market, has created tension rather than support. Players often perform with visible pressing, leading to costly mistakes in crucial moments. This trend carries the most weight when Jacksonville faces divisional opponents at home, where the combination of elevated expectations and historical futility creates the largest line inflation.