The data suggests caution when backing the Jacksonville Jaguars in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Jacksonville Jaguars are just 2-9-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -65.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +65.3%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record2-9-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size11 games
ROI-65.3%
Units Won-7.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20140-1-00.0%-100.0%
20150-1-00.0%-100.0%
20160-1-00.0%-100.0%
20171-1-00.0%-4.5%
20180-2-00.0%-100.0%
20211-1-00.0%-4.5%
20220-1-00.0%-100.0%
20230-1-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Jaguars' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a franchise historically plagued by inconsistency and organizational instability. When Jacksonville loses a game, the team often lacks the veteran leadership and championship culture necessary to respond with focused road performances against supposedly inferior opponents. The psychological weight of being favored away from home creates additional pressure on a franchise that has rarely sustained success, leading to tight, unfocused play that fails to cover spreads. Jacksonville's roster construction over this period has typically featured talented individual players without the depth or coaching stability to execute game plans consistently on the road. The team's offensive identity has shifted frequently between different coordinators and schemes, making it difficult to establish rhythm against teams that have extra motivation facing a favored opponent. Road environments amplify these issues, as the Jaguars have historically struggled with communication and execution away from TIAA Bank Field. Smart bettors should consider fading Jacksonville in these spots, particularly when the spread is relatively small and the opponent has been competitive at home. This trend carries the most weight when the Jaguars are short road favorites against divisional opponents or teams with strong home-field advantages.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Jacksonville Jaguars's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?

The Jacksonville Jaguars have a 2-9-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 0.0% win rate in this specific betting situation.

Is betting on the Jacksonville Jaguars as away favorite after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Jacksonville Jaguars as away favorites after a loss has been highly unprofitable with a -65.3% ROI. This poor performance makes it one of the worst betting trends for the franchise.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as most teams perform closer to 50% ATS in similar situations. The Jaguars' 0.0% win rate in this spot represents an extreme negative trend.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.