The data suggests caution when backing the Jacksonville Jaguars in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Jacksonville Jaguars are just 6-15-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -45.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +45.5%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record6-15-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size21 games
ROI-45.5%
Units Won-9.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-2-00.0%-36.4%
20151-1-00.0%-4.5%
20161-3-00.0%-52.3%
20171-2-00.0%-36.4%
20180-2-00.0%-100.0%
20201-1-00.0%-4.5%
20211-1-00.0%-4.5%
20220-1-00.0%-100.0%
20230-2-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Jaguars' struggles as road favorites stem from fundamental organizational instability that has plagued the franchise for over a decade. Jacksonville's inconsistent quarterback play and frequent coaching changes have created a team that lacks the mental fortitude to handle the pressure of being favored away from home. When oddsmakers install the Jaguars as road favorites, it typically indicates they're facing teams in similar rebuilding phases, creating unpredictable matchups where motivation and execution matter more than talent differentials. Jacksonville's defensive-minded identity under various coaching regimes has historically traveled poorly, particularly when the offense fails to establish early leads. The team's reliance on creating short fields through turnovers becomes more difficult on the road, where crowd noise and hostile environments disrupt the communication needed for complex defensive schemes. Additionally, the Jaguars have consistently struggled with discipline, ranking among the league leaders in penalties during their worst seasons as road favorites. Sharp bettors should view Jacksonville road favorites with extreme skepticism, particularly when the spread is modest. The value consistently lies with their opponents in these spots. This trend matters most when Jacksonville faces division rivals or teams with veteran quarterbacks who can exploit their road vulnerabilities in crucial late-season games.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Jacksonville Jaguars's ATS record as away favorite?

The Jacksonville Jaguars have a 6-15-0 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 28.6% of games. This represents one of the worst ATS performances in this situation across the NFL.

Is betting on the Jacksonville Jaguars as away favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Jacksonville Jaguars as away favorites is not profitable, with a -45.5% ROI from 2014-2024. Bettors would have lost nearly half their investment backing the Jaguars in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as most teams cover around 50% of spreads over time. The Jaguars' 28.6% cover rate as away favorites is among the poorest in the NFL during this period.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.