The public often underestimates the Indianapolis Colts in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Indianapolis Colts hold a record of 37-16-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +33.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $18 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record37-16-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size53 games
ROI+33.3%
Units Won+17.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-2-00.0%+27.3%
20152-0-00.0%+90.9%
20168-0-00.0%+90.9%
20178-1-00.0%+69.7%
20183-3-00.0%-4.5%
20194-0-00.0%+90.9%
20201-3-00.0%-52.3%
20213-1-00.0%+43.2%
20221-2-00.0%-36.4%
20233-1-00.0%+43.2%
20240-3-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Colts' historical success as primetime underdogs stems from their organizational culture of preparation meeting opportunity under the bright lights. Indianapolis has traditionally thrived when expectations are lowered, allowing their coaching staff to implement game plans that exploit opponent overconfidence. The franchise's quarterback-centric identity, whether with Manning or Luck in their prime years, created a foundation where superior preparation and execution could overcome talent gaps against favored opponents. The psychological element cannot be understated - Indianapolis players have consistently responded well to the underdog narrative, particularly in primetime slots where the entire football world is watching. Their offensive schemes have historically been designed to maximize efficiency rather than raw talent, making them particularly dangerous when opponents gameplan for a lesser team. The Colts' ability to control tempo and limit possessions has allowed them to stay competitive against superior teams who might otherwise pull away in four-quarter battles. For bettors, the key insight lies in recognizing when Indianapolis enters primetime games with their core identity intact - competent quarterback play, disciplined coaching, and a chip-on-the-shoulder mentality. This trend matters most when the Colts face division rivals or playoff-contending teams in primetime spots where their preparation advantage can shine brightest.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Indianapolis Colts's ATS record as primetime underdog?

The Indianapolis Colts have an outstanding 37-16-0 ATS record as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents a 69.8% ATS win rate over 53 games.

Is betting on the Indianapolis Colts as primetime underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Colts as primetime underdogs has been highly profitable with a 33.3% ROI. Despite a 0.0% straight-up win rate, they consistently cover the spread in these situations.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Colts' 69.8% ATS win rate as primetime underdogs significantly exceeds the typical league average of around 50% for underdog ATS performance. This represents one of the most profitable betting trends in the NFL during this period.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.