Indianapolis Colts Medium Underdog (+3.5 to +7) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Indianapolis Colts in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the Indianapolis Colts hold a record of 12-5-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +34.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $6 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2018 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Colts' exceptional performance as medium underdogs stems from their organizational culture of resilience and strategic adaptability under pressure. Indianapolis has historically thrived when expectations are lowered, allowing their coaching staff to implement game plans that maximize their roster's versatility. The franchise's quarterback stability, particularly during the Andrew Luck era and now with Anthony Richardson's development, creates a foundation where the team can execute complex schemes when playing with house money. This betting line range typically occurs when the Colts face divisional rivals or playoff-caliber opponents on the road, situations where their defensive coordinator can dial up aggressive packages without fear of catastrophic consequences. The team's offensive line has consistently provided enough protection to keep games competitive, while their defense generates timely turnovers when playing loose and aggressive. Indianapolis also benefits from public perception that often undervalues their talent level, creating inflated spreads when they're road underdogs against marquee franchises. Their special teams units have been consistently above average, providing the field position advantages crucial in close games. This trend carries the most weight when the Colts are road underdogs against AFC South opponents or in primetime spots where motivation peaks.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Indianapolis Colts's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?
The Indianapolis Colts have a 12-5-0 ATS record as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7) from 2014-2024. This represents a strong 70.6% ATS win rate in this betting situation.
Is betting on the Indianapolis Colts as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Colts as medium underdogs has been highly profitable with a 34.8% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite a 0% straight-up win rate, they consistently cover the spread in these spots.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Colts' 70.6% ATS win rate and 34.8% ROI as medium underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% ATS. This represents one of the most profitable betting trends for Indianapolis over the past decade.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.