Indianapolis Colts After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Indianapolis Colts in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a loss, the Indianapolis Colts hold a record of 20-16-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +6.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $2 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2015 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2016 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2019 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2021 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2023 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2024 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Colts' inconsistent response after losses stems largely from their organizational identity crisis over the past decade. Following the Andrew Luck era's abrupt end, Indianapolis has cycled through quarterbacks and coaching philosophies, creating a franchise that lacks the emotional resilience and systematic approach needed for consistent bounce-back performances. This instability manifests most clearly in their inability to make necessary adjustments between games, as different coaching regimes have emphasized varying approaches to adversity. Indianapolis tends to overcorrect after defeats, particularly on offense where they've historically abandoned successful running games in favor of forcing the passing attack. Their recent struggles reflect a team that becomes pressing rather than methodical, especially when facing public expectations to respond. The Colts' home-heavy schedule advantages also diminish after losses, as road environments amplify their tendency toward mental mistakes and poor execution in crucial moments. The most profitable betting approach involves fading Indianapolis as road favorites after losses, particularly when they're laying points against divisional opponents. This trend carries the most weight during the middle portion of the season when playoff implications intensify pressure and the team's foundational weaknesses become most exposed under scrutiny.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Indianapolis Colts's ATS record as after a loss?
The Indianapolis Colts have a 20-16-0 ATS record when playing after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 55.6% ATS win rate over 36 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Indianapolis Colts as after a loss profitable?
Yes, betting on the Indianapolis Colts after a loss has been profitable with a 6.1% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite their 0% straight-up win rate in these situations, they consistently cover the spread at a profitable rate.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Colts' 55.6% ATS win rate after losses is above the typical league average of around 50%. Their 6.1% ROI indicates they provide solid betting value in bounce-back situations compared to most NFL teams.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.