Houston Texans vs Division Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Houston Texans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs division opponent, the Houston Texans hold a record of 12-7-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +20.6% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $4 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Texans' strong divisional ATS performance stems from their ability to elevate their game against familiar AFC South opponents where coaching preparation and matchup knowledge become paramount. Houston has historically thrived in these contests because divisional games often come down to execution rather than raw talent disparities, allowing well-coached teams to maximize their advantages through superior game-planning and in-game adjustments. The franchise's success against the spread in divisional matchups reflects their understanding of opponent tendencies and their ability to exploit specific weaknesses that only emerge through repeated exposure. Houston's coaching staff has consistently demonstrated an aptitude for making the right tactical adjustments when facing teams they see twice annually, whether that's attacking Jacksonville's secondary depth, exploiting Tennessee's run defense gaps, or neutralizing Indianapolis' passing attack through strategic pressure packages. The psychological element cannot be ignored either - divisional games carry inherent motivation and urgency that often brings out peak performance from Houston players who understand the playoff implications of these contests. The familiarity breeds not contempt, but rather focused intensity that translates to covering numbers. This trend holds maximum value when Houston enters divisional contests as moderate underdogs, where their preparation advantages aren't fully reflected in the betting lines.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Houston Texans's ATS record as vs division opponent?
The Houston Texans have a 12-7-0 ATS record when playing against division opponents from 2014-2024. This translates to a 63.2% ATS win rate in divisional matchups.
Is betting on the Houston Texans as vs division opponent profitable?
Yes, betting on the Houston Texans against division opponents has been profitable with a 20.6% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite covering the spread in 12 of 19 divisional games, the positive ROI indicates strong betting value.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Texans' 63.2% ATS win rate against division opponents significantly exceeds the typical 50% league average for ATS performance. Their 20.6% ROI also indicates above-average profitability compared to standard betting expectations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.