Houston Texans As Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Houston Texans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as underdog, the Houston Texans hold a record of 27-13-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +28.9% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $12 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2015 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2018 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2022 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2023 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2024 | 6-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Texans' exceptional performance as underdogs stems from their organizational DNA as a relatively young franchise that's consistently had to prove itself against more established NFL powers. This underdog mentality runs deep through the locker room, creating a chip-on-the-shoulder approach that translates into motivated performances when oddsmakers doubt them. Houston's success in these spots also reflects their strategic adaptability under pressure. When facing superior opponents, the Texans have historically simplified their game plan and relied on defensive opportunism, forcing turnovers that create short fields and keep games closer than talent differentials suggest. Their home crowd at NRG Stadium becomes particularly electric when the team enters as underdogs, creating an atmosphere that can rattle visiting favorites who expected easier outings. The franchise's boom-or-bust quarterback history has actually worked in their favor as underdogs. Whether it was peak Deshaun Watson or other signal-callers, Houston QBs have shown a tendency to play with house money when expectations are low, leading to explosive offensive performances that catch defenses off-guard. Bettors should pay closest attention to this trend when Houston faces divisional opponents or playoff-bound teams at home, where the combination of familiarity and crowd energy maximizes their underdog edge.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Houston Texans's ATS record as as underdog?
The Houston Texans have a 27-13-0 ATS record as underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 67.5% ATS win rate, covering the spread in more than two-thirds of their underdog games.
Is betting on the Houston Texans as as underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Houston Texans as underdogs has been highly profitable with a 28.9% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. This represents excellent value, as the team consistently outperformed expectations when not favored.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Texans' 67.5% ATS win rate as underdogs significantly exceeds the typical league average of around 50%. Their 28.9% ROI is exceptionally strong compared to the standard expectation of roughly -4.5% due to sportsbook vigorish.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.