Houston Texans Primetime Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Houston Texans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Houston Texans hold a record of 27-13-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +28.9% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $12 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2015 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2018 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2022 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2023 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2024 | 6-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Houston Texans' exceptional performance as primetime underdogs stems from their organizational DNA as a franchise built to exceed expectations in high-stakes moments. Houston thrives when cast in the underdog role because it aligns with their defensive identity and conservative offensive approach that minimizes mistakes under the bright lights. The Texans have historically featured opportunistic defenses that create short fields and timely turnovers, while their ground-heavy offensive schemes control tempo and keep games close regardless of talent disparities. Primetime slots often feature the Texans against superior opponents, but these matchups frequently occur at NRG Stadium where Houston's crowd energy becomes a significant factor. The team's coaching staff has consistently prepared well for nationally televised games, understanding the importance of these contests for franchise credibility and playoff positioning. Their ability to stay within striking distance through disciplined play allows them to capitalize when favored opponents make critical errors in pressure moments. The psychological element cannot be understated – Houston players historically elevate their performance when given the chance to prove doubters wrong on national television. This creates a perfect storm where the Texans play their most focused football while opponents may overlook them. This trend carries the most weight when Houston is getting more than a field goal at home in divisional primetime matchups.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Houston Texans's ATS record as primetime underdog?
The Houston Texans have a 27-13-0 record against the spread (ATS) when playing as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents a 67.5% ATS win rate over 40 games.
Is betting on the Houston Texans as primetime underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Houston Texans as primetime underdogs has been highly profitable with a 28.9% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite a 0% straight-up win rate, their strong ATS performance makes them a profitable betting option in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Texans' 67.5% ATS win rate as primetime underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for underdogs. Their 28.9% ROI is exceptionally strong compared to the long-term break-even point for sports betting.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.