Houston Texans Favorite After 3+ Game Losing Streak Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Houston Texans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as favorite after 3+ game losing streak, the Houston Texans are just 17-31-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -32.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +32.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2016 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2017 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2019 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2020 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2021 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2022 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2023 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Texans' struggles as favorites following extended losing streaks reveal a franchise historically plagued by inconsistent leadership and roster construction. When Houston finds itself in losing skids, the underlying issues that created those struggles don't simply disappear because oddsmakers install them as favorites against weaker opponents. The organization has cycled through coaching staffs and quarterback situations with alarming frequency, creating an environment where players lack the institutional confidence needed to perform when expectations rise. Houston's offensive identity has been particularly volatile during these bounce-back spots. The franchise has struggled to establish consistent game-planning and execution when facing teams they're expected to beat, often pressing too hard to end losing streaks rather than playing within their system. This pressure manifests in poor red zone efficiency and untimely turnovers that keep inferior opponents competitive. The psychological weight of being favored after multiple losses creates a unique burden for a franchise that has rarely sustained success. Players and coaches feel the added pressure to validate the betting line, leading to overthinking and mechanical breakdowns in crucial moments. This trend carries the most significance when Houston is favored by more than a field goal following three-game losing streaks, as the larger spread amplifies the psychological pressure on an already fragile team dynamic.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Houston Texans's ATS record as favorite after 3+ game losing streak?
The Houston Texans have an ATS record of 17-31-0 (35.4%) when favored after a 3+ game losing streak from 2014-2024. This represents 48 total games where they were betting favorites despite coming off extended losing streaks.
Is betting on the Houston Texans as favorite after 3+ game losing streak profitable?
No, betting on the Houston Texans as favorites after 3+ game losing streaks is not profitable, with a -32.4% ROI. This poor return indicates significant losses for bettors backing Houston in these situations over the past decade.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 35.4% ATS win rate is well below the typical 50% expectation for spread betting and likely underperforms the league average. Most teams struggle to cover spreads immediately after losing streaks, but Houston's performance in this spot has been particularly poor.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.