Houston Texans Away Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Houston Texans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog after a win, the Houston Texans hold a record of 11-2-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +61.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $8 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Texans' exceptional performance as road underdogs following victories stems from their organizational culture of resilience and their ability to maintain focus despite external expectations. Houston has historically thrived when doubted, particularly on the road where they can embrace an underdog mentality that galvanizes the locker room. The franchise's defensive identity has proven especially effective in hostile environments, where their aggressive pass rush and opportunistic secondary can capitalize on crowd-induced pressure that often leads opposing offenses to force plays. This pattern reflects Houston's tendency to play loose and confident after momentum-building wins, while oddsmakers consistently undervalue their road capabilities. The Texans have shown remarkable consistency in maintaining their defensive intensity regardless of venue, and their coaching staff has demonstrated an ability to prepare the team mentally for the challenge of backing up a strong performance in unfavorable circumstances. The psychological edge of having recent success while still being perceived as the inferior team creates an ideal betting environment. Bettors should pay particular attention to this spot when the Texans face divisional opponents on the road, as familiarity breeds the kind of competitive games where small edges become magnified and underdogs find extra motivation to prove themselves.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Houston Texans's ATS record as away underdog after a win?
The Houston Texans have an outstanding 11-2-0 ATS record as away underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This represents an 84.6% ATS win rate across 13 games.
Is betting on the Houston Texans as away underdog after a win profitable?
Yes, betting on the Texans as away underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 61.5% ROI. Despite covering the spread at an elite rate, they are 0-11 straight up in these situations.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 84.6% ATS rate significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for similar situations. The Texans' consistency in this spot makes it one of the most reliable betting trends in the NFL.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.